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VFIN - where the journey leads it?

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Post by CK on Tue May 17, 2016 5:46 pm

Super prediction sls.. Thanks
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Post by First Guy on Wed May 18, 2016 7:39 am

Best results by VFIN at many levels.

This chart will reflect that

VFIN - where the journey leads it? - Page 8 Image_17

P/E - 5.7x
P/B - 1.5x

About the dividend - Total capital ratio is close to minimum level. Paying a higher dividend may be riskier.

May be we will see a rights or debenture issue soon? Or a Scrip dividend.
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Post by Future123 on Thu Jun 02, 2016 3:46 pm

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT
Date of Announcement: - 01.Jun.2016
Rate of Dividend: - Rs. 2.50 per share / First & Final Dividend
Financial Year: - 2015/2016
XD: - 10.Jun.2016
Payment: - 21.Jun.2016
Share Transfer Book Open

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Post by First Guy on Thu Jun 02, 2016 7:20 pm

As expected VFIN has been cautious about its dividend. Still not bad.
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Post by pathfinder on Thu Jun 02, 2016 7:29 pm

It should, as it's in growth stage, better not to be extra genorus
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Post by First Guy on Thu Jun 02, 2016 9:36 pm

pathfinder wrote:It should, as it's in growth stage, better not to be extra genorus

Great to see you path!

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Post by slstock on Fri Jun 03, 2016 10:29 am

VFIN dividend is a bit less than expected ( atleast by me) but by far nothing bad at this stage of their development

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Post by Future123 on Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:54 pm

Annual Report - 2015/16
http://cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/949_1464952669899.pdf

Please at least go through the MD's report from pages 16 to 19.

VFIN is on the right track and I strongly believe they will record Rs. 1 billion profit in 2 to 3 years time.

The upcoming branch openings are in Mount Lavinia, Borella, Balangoda, Hanwella, Dambulla, Nuwara Eliya and Katugastota. (Source annual report page 19).

They have clearly explained how the challenges been converted to opportunities. This reminds me the journey with LFIN around 7 years ago when they were small. The management is very creative and proactive. The new products are very successful. Eg: Auto draft

Expansion really helped them reaching new customers. For me this is a future gem.

This is my personal view and not a promotion.

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Post by Leon on Sat Jun 04, 2016 10:37 pm

I like to see the share holder base getting broaden. May be a good fund appearing in the T20.
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Post by First Guy on Tue Jun 07, 2016 7:07 am

Leon wrote:I like to see the share holder base getting broaden. May be a good fund appearing in the T20.

size is too small maybe for big player to get in.
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Post by Future123 on Mon Aug 01, 2016 7:32 pm

Good Q1 performance by VFIN (30/06/2016 Quarter ended).

Annualized EPS Rs. 12.57
NAV is Rs. 47.20

PE 4.8 times
PBV 1.3 times

http://cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/949_1470052589.pdf

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Post by Future123 on Mon Aug 22, 2016 7:31 pm

Vallibel Finance lights up Borella and Mt. Lavinia with new branches

See more at: http://www.ft.lk/article/562358/Vallibel-Finance-lights-up-Borella-and-Mt--Lavinia-with-new-branches#sthash.23npdkqo.dpuf

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Post by Future123 on Mon Sep 19, 2016 11:30 pm


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Post by SLfinancewatch on Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:33 pm

Whats your expectation on VFIN 's Current Quarter Performances ? Im expecting 15.00+ annualized EPS

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Post by Future123 on Fri Sep 30, 2016 4:16 am

Another new branch opened at Uragasmanhandiya. This is the 4th new branch within 4 months.
http://www.vallibelfinance.com/?p=1391

I don't expect superb results in September quarter due to macro economy and unfavorable situation for leasing but VFIN is one of the most undervalued shares in the market for a solid medium / long term investment.

VFIN is a fast growing Finance company.


SLFINANCEWATCH wrote:Whats your expectation on VFIN 's Current Quarter Performances ? Im expecting 15.00+ annualized EPS

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Post by Future123 on Mon Oct 31, 2016 7:43 pm

Superb performance by VFIN under very difficult conditions. Quarterly EPS is Rs. 4.65. Significant increase in other operating income.

VFIN should be valued over Rs. 100/= as they are expanding very fast opening new branches through out the country.

The journey continues well..........
https://cdn.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/949_1477908598981.09.2016.pdf

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Post by SLfinancewatch on Thu Apr 13, 2017 2:42 pm

Normally VFIN deliver much better results in last quarter, So EPS will be 17.00+ and NAV will be 60.00+.
There will be a correction in mkt prices of VFIN, LFIN.( Both are too much undervalued )
Current PER is below 4.00 and PBV is 1.05

If mkt price reach 85.00, PER = 5.00, PBV = 1.33
If mkt price reach 102.00, PER = 6.00, PBV = 1.65

Last year EPS = 12.00 , This year EPS = 17.00 , 2018 March EPS = ?? minimum 22.00 , Then if they give Rs.2.50 dividend NAV as at march 2018 = 80.00,

Then within 12 months PER and PBV analysis will be like this.
Mkt price = 110.00, PER = 5.00, PBV = 1.40
Mkt price = 132.00, PER = 6.00, PBV = 1.65

Meanwhile if interest rates drop PER of 9.00 and PBV 2.00 is possible ( like in 2014 ).

Mkt price = 160.00, PER 7.40, PBV = 2.00

Any comments..

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Post by Future123 on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:30 pm

Agree with you SLFinanceWatch.

VFIN is one of the most neglected share trading around 3.6 PER. VFIN performs much better than its competitors where others reported drop in earnings.

VFIN is a growing company and they keep on increasing the dividend every year. This June we can expect around 3.50 to 4.00 dividend which is a good yield.

VFIN deserves to trade at least 50% of the market PER. The market PER is 12.5 times and even if we discount 50% to market PER then VFIN should trade at 6 times PER making VFIN valued at Rs. 105 (17.5/= * 6 PER)

Soon many will realize the potential of VFIN and start collect this value gem.

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Post by Ethical Trader on Fri Apr 14, 2017 9:02 am

Thanks guys for your contributions.
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Post by SLfinancewatch on Mon Apr 17, 2017 10:13 am

Future 123,
Yes, you are spot on, Keep collecting this as I'm doing in a smaller way.

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Post by SLfinancewatch on Thu Apr 20, 2017 11:02 am

Very Happy Smile Very Happy Smile
VFIN - where the journey leads it? - Page 8 Captur10

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Post by SLfinancewatch on Mon May 15, 2017 7:47 pm

Oh ohhh...
Vfin ....
Last qtr annualized eps 21...
Eps 17.50
Nav 61.50

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Post by SLfinancewatch on Wed May 17, 2017 2:53 pm

Last Quarter Annualized EPS : Rs. 21.17 PE at 70/- = 3.30
Last Year EPS : Rs. 17.48 PE at 70/- = 4.00

Sector PE 7.50

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VFIN - where the journey leads it? - Page 8 Empty Re: VFIN - where the journey leads it?

Post by Future123 on Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:27 pm


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VFIN - where the journey leads it? - Page 8 Empty Re: VFIN - where the journey leads it?

Post by First Guy on Tue Jun 27, 2017 10:37 pm

Good last quarter isn't it? It was better than what I was expecting given the outlook for finance companies Smile

But very low impairments in the accounts
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