The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans

Join the forum, it's quick and easy

The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans
The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.
Please send an email to contact.lankaninvestor@gmail.com if you face any technical difficulties when posting
Search
Display results as :
Advanced Search
Latest topics
Coronavirus UpdatesMon Feb 08, 2021 9:56 amThe Invisible
Browns Investments updateTue Feb 02, 2021 2:38 pmYin-Yang
ACL CablesWed Dec 30, 2020 7:22 pmsubash
Merry Christmas to AllTue Dec 29, 2020 4:53 pmchutiputha
Trading Journal Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:33 pmxmart
HVA FoodsFri Dec 04, 2020 10:25 amThe Invisible
Tokyo CementMon Nov 23, 2020 9:42 amRajapaksap
Insider Dealings Fri Nov 20, 2020 2:30 ampjrngroup
UML United MotorsTue Nov 10, 2020 8:50 amThe Invisible
ExpolankaMon Nov 09, 2020 8:46 pmsmallville
Plantation Sector UpdatesSat Nov 07, 2020 8:15 amRajapaksap
HAYC - HaycarbFri Nov 06, 2020 12:11 pmsubash
LWL.N0000 (Lanka Walltiles PLC)Fri Oct 16, 2020 12:50 amsubash
Disclaimer


Information posted in this forum are entirely of the respective members' personal views. The views posted on this open online forum of contributors do not constitute a recommendation buy or sell. The site nor the connected parties will be responsible for the posts posted on the forum and will take best possible action to remove any unlawful or inappropriate posts.
All rights to articles of value authored by members posted on the forum belong to the respective authors. Re-using without the consent of the authors is prohibited. Due credit with links to original source should be given when quoting content from the forum.
This is an educational portal and not one that gives recommendations. Please obtain investment advises from a Registered Investment Advisor through a stock broker

Go down
Yin-Yang
Yin-Yang
Posts : 1319
Join date : 2016-03-12

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sat Oct 08, 2016 6:46 am
Lenses are always colored or biased; otherwise it's not a lens.
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sun Oct 09, 2016 6:16 pm
Message reputation : 100% (2 votes)
Purpose of this thread is not to twist words, so I stop.
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sun Oct 09, 2016 6:28 pm
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
@smallville wrote:
And sometimes trading LITE would be a sin.. but trading SFS, BLUE, TFC, REEF, CITK may not.. At one point we all dump this to someone.. So where's the ethics unless u dump on to your other account? LOL.. u know.. Im just saying..

Logic is so simple,
if you succeed in an opportunity you are a good trader,
If you miss an opportunity you have to think about ethics and longterm stability of CSE.

ඒක කොච්චර සිම්පල් ප්ලෑන් එකක්ද​?   lol!
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sun Oct 09, 2016 6:29 pm
@smallville wrote:correct xmart.. sometimes its difficult to buy depend on the buy signals these days.. Have to relate this wit ASI as well.
So be careful with LDEV.. If dumping happens... its not good.

LDEV still looks bearish IMHO,May turnaround after selling stops.


avatar
Future123
Active Member
Active Member
Posts : 1435
Join date : 2014-04-09

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sun Oct 09, 2016 7:56 pm
LDEV fundamentally still not a buy as they continue to make losses every quarter. This is mainly due to the plantation effect. Considering the wage hike and all the problems that the industry is facing, I will avoid LDEV until there are big positive changes.


@pathfinder wrote:
@smallville wrote:correct xmart.. sometimes its difficult to buy depend on the buy signals these days.. Have to relate this wit ASI as well.
So be careful with LDEV.. If dumping happens... its not good.

LDEV still looks bearish IMHO,May turnaround after selling stops.


Yin-Yang
Yin-Yang
Posts : 1319
Join date : 2016-03-12

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Mon Oct 10, 2016 8:07 am
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
@pathfinder wrote:Purpose of this thread is not to twist words, so I stop.

I might have said;

Yes, this is a lens to see the reality now; not a magic mirror to see the future.
smallville
smallville
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1871
Join date : 2014-02-23
Location : Trying to figure out..

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Mon Oct 10, 2016 8:09 am
@Yin-Yang wrote:
@smallville wrote:
@yellow knife wrote:Thanks .. Path

Unlike Hunter's predictions which come with exact future value , in your predictions I find it difficult to put in front of Mirror...

These are short term baby.. so take 10% first.. 20% if trend intacts well.. more if trend continues..

Curiously, if I sell all my stake after 10%, how can a 20% be taken?

Why u wanna sell all ur stake?

My theory - Buy in chunks.. Sell in chunks.. If u sense a selling pressure then sell at once.

I sell at various stages... Above I meant not to "sell", just figure your 10%.. if counter goin for more, then 20%.... and so on...

_________________
I take risks as a Trader and I select stocks based on Tech and daily Cash in/out. Therefore, my methods may not suit u.. so DYO analysis before making any decisions.
Yin-Yang
Yin-Yang
Posts : 1319
Join date : 2016-03-12

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Mon Oct 10, 2016 9:09 am
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
Oh boy!

So, what you say is;
When it goes up 10% just analyze the situation,
if coming color is not good sell;
if it looks still good, wait for another 10% advance,
and do the same.

Is it my small boy ?
smallville
smallville
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1871
Join date : 2014-02-23
Location : Trying to figure out..

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Mon Oct 10, 2016 2:17 pm
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
C'mon YY.. I thought ur smart.. What part of sell by chunks u cant understand?

I'm not saying analyze the situation at 10%.. (its up to the person as per their risk apatite). I say sell at 10% a chunk. Then analyse...

Say u have 6000 shares.. U sell at 10% profit 2000-3000, then wait.. If selling side is more u sell all n get out [sometimes u will have to consider ethics also ok.. Very Happy ]
But if more buying is witnessed - u hold.. wait a bit and sell at a higher say (15-20%) another chunk...

Its my style.. BTW I dont ask anyone to follow me .. Anyone can criticize my style with their expertise knowledge but what works for me is good for me..

The reason for this is - unlike funda backed shares, with pennies and so called junk cannot be trusted whether more push will come or not. So those can get dumped.

_________________
I take risks as a Trader and I select stocks based on Tech and daily Cash in/out. Therefore, my methods may not suit u.. so DYO analysis before making any decisions.
smallville
smallville
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1871
Join date : 2014-02-23
Location : Trying to figure out..

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Mon Oct 10, 2016 2:19 pm
LDEV - 10% done at 5.0 ok guys.. im just saying Very Happy

_________________
I take risks as a Trader and I select stocks based on Tech and daily Cash in/out. Therefore, my methods may not suit u.. so DYO analysis before making any decisions.
Yin-Yang
Yin-Yang
Posts : 1319
Join date : 2016-03-12

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Mon Oct 10, 2016 2:51 pm
Message reputation : 100% (2 votes)
OK. Got that 'sell in chunk' part.
What you do is scaling down when price goes up.

I've heard it's a good way to secure some profits and reduce the risk and make the trader 'feel good' about himself.


Can you tell a little more about 'buy in chunks' also ?

Do you buy at different price levels; up or down ?



[No comments on 'Ethical' guys from me right now; otherwise it'll be too much.
Besides, not feeling good to comment in their absence]
avatar
dhanurrox
Posts : 779
Join date : 2014-03-27

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Tue Oct 11, 2016 4:42 pm
MEL 3.10-3.20 for 10% return plus no loss guaranteed till the return comes.
Yin-Yang
Yin-Yang
Posts : 1319
Join date : 2016-03-12

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Wed Oct 12, 2016 2:09 pm
@Yin-Yang wrote:Can I also ask a question mate?

Do you see if we can by RICH at 7.7 and later sell at 9/- within next 10 months?

Anyone reckon this is real now?
Backstage
Backstage
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 3775
Join date : 2014-02-24

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Thu Oct 13, 2016 5:43 pm
@Yin-Yang wrote:
@Yin-Yang wrote:Can I also ask a question mate?

Do you see if we can by RICH at 7.7 and later sell at 9/- within next 10 months?

Anyone reckon this is real now?

Barely 15 % gain in 10 months. If a divi is also thrown in, I guess it would be a decent return. I though expect better quarters up ahead and 10/= to be tested much before 10 months.
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty ASI situation

Thu Oct 13, 2016 7:04 pm
Message reputation : 100% (4 votes)
All of a sudden ASI became bearish and all indicators negative.
But this is another short term correction,usually corrections don't go below 73.2% Fib retracement.
6468 is 73.2% Fib retracement.ASI should make a turnaround at this point otherwise 100% correction at 6450 which is highly unlikely.
avatar
roshana7549
Posts : 278
Join date : 2014-04-18

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Thu Oct 13, 2016 7:54 pm
Thanks Path for ur insight
avatar
yellow knife
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 6860
Join date : 2014-03-27

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Fri Oct 14, 2016 7:28 am
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
@pathfinder wrote:All of a sudden ASI became bearish and all indicators negative.
But this is another short term correction,usually corrections don't go below 73.2% Fib retracement.
6468 is 73.2% Fib retracement.ASI should make a turnaround at this point otherwise 100% correction at 6450 which is highly unlikely.


September was affected by JKH W and October by budget expectations and November budget impact.. +/- news affect...
Backstage
Backstage
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 3775
Join date : 2014-02-24

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Fri Oct 14, 2016 12:29 pm
Message reputation : 100% (2 votes)
@yellow knife wrote:
@pathfinder wrote:All of a sudden ASI became bearish and all indicators negative.
But this is another short term correction,usually corrections don't go below 73.2% Fib retracement.
6468 is 73.2% Fib retracement.ASI should make a turnaround at this point otherwise 100% correction at 6450 which is highly unlikely.


September was affected by JKH W and October by budget expectations and November budget impact.. +/- news affect...

Many (including IMF ) are waiting for VAT bill to be passed in parliament. Today the Supreme court will give a opinion as to if they have goofed it up again.
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty LION as a MT investment

Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:03 pm
I reckon LION as a good MT stock which can give about 50% gain from current price.
CMP is a good entry point with a holding period of 1yr.
Backstage
Backstage
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 3775
Join date : 2014-02-24

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:15 pm
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
@pathfinder wrote:I reckon LION as a good MT stock which can give about 50% gain from current price.
CMP is a good entry point with a holding period of 1yr.


LION factory fully restored, production has started and will reach full capacity by end of November. The Yeast is grown and multiplied, process is underway and will complete the cycle end November. I expect an announcement and a spike in price. Should effect BUKI too.
avatar
Future123
Active Member
Active Member
Posts : 1435
Join date : 2014-04-09

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:19 pm
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
@pathfinder wrote:I reckon LION as a good MT stock which can give about 50% gain from current price.
CMP is a good entry point with a holding period of 1yr.

Thanks Path. I also was thinking about this.

The next 2 quarters they may report losses. Also, there will be more and more taxes for beverages and alcohol in the budget as well as on adhoc basis.
smallville
smallville
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1871
Join date : 2014-02-23
Location : Trying to figure out..

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Tue Oct 18, 2016 9:57 am
@Yin-Yang wrote:
Can you tell a little more about 'buy in chunks' also ?

Do you buy at different price levels; up or down ?


Yes diff price levels up or down.. The reason is, however attractive a share might be due to valuation, broker recon and various other factors, if a big boy wants to enter brokers may let the share slip. So if you even buy at the best possible levels that looks nice in charts or in recent history, the share can dip more.

Then if you're not sure of a rise of a share, u can buy a lil, and if move up, buy some more.. Ur not losing cuz ur avg is down due to low purchase in that instance.

_________________
I take risks as a Trader and I select stocks based on Tech and daily Cash in/out. Therefore, my methods may not suit u.. so DYO analysis before making any decisions.
Yin-Yang
Yin-Yang
Posts : 1319
Join date : 2016-03-12

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Tue Oct 18, 2016 10:23 am
Thanks Small. One last question.

Do you ever sell at a loss also?

I mean, when the price was going down you buy few chunks, but the price is still keep on going down; would you exit at a loss at some point?
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty Re: What to Analyse

Thu Oct 20, 2016 6:21 pm
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
@The Alchemist wrote:

Hi Hunter & Pathfinder - given BFL 's latest q result, and considering last 6 Q's results, what do you think is fair value based on Fundamentals AND also Technical Analysis ?
what do you think is the price potential ?

Technically BFL should reach 235-240 within 5-6 months,On FA ground it may value more
pathfinder
pathfinder
Top contributor
Top contributor
Posts : 1450
Join date : 2014-02-23

What to Analyse - Page 5 Empty LFIN as a MT investment

Sun Oct 30, 2016 7:58 pm
Message reputation : 100% (1 vote)
LFIN is strong even in this down trend
charts show it has potential to make new all time high with great performances.
I consider current price as a safe entry.
Back to top
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum