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The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans

The Lankan Investor Forum - A more respectable and reasonable place for members to discuss matters regarding the CSEThe Lankan Investor Forum - A more respectable and reasonable place for members to discuss matters regarding the CSE

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4 posters

    Aluminium - Snapshot

    First Guy
    First Guy


    Posts : 2599
    Join date : 2014-02-22

    Aluminium - Snapshot Empty Aluminium - Snapshot

    Post by First Guy Tue Jul 28, 2015 10:40 pm

    [You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

    Since Aluminium has been a hot topic!

    LALU numbers are as at March results while ALUM and PARQ are updated for June.

    Interesting trendline and trading multiples. In fact, looks like the market got it correct again. ALUM has better ROE and trading at better price. But is the gap too much?

    How does future growth look like?
    First Guy
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    Posts : 2599
    Join date : 2014-02-22

    Aluminium - Snapshot Empty Re: Aluminium - Snapshot

    Post by First Guy Wed Jul 29, 2015 9:37 pm

    In the above table, EPS was taken directly from the reports. LALU has a gain on sale of subsidiary reported in the December 2014 report. If that is excluded, trailing P/E comes to 9.3x (based on yesterday's price)
    Either it's too expensive or PARQ is cheap. I think it's both.

    Look at LALU's trend. Not so good compared to others.
    [You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
    Is the market expecting anything better? Or is it ready for a slide when results come out?
    avatar
    hariesha
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    Aluminium - Snapshot Empty Re: Aluminium - Snapshot

    Post by hariesha Mon Apr 23, 2018 12:07 pm

    World aluminium prices have hit seven year high and prices are expected to surge further. Rupee has depreciated to all time lows.

    How our Aluminium companies will face the new challenges. All three companies are in negative cash flows with increasing borrowings and operating expenses. Ability to pass the costs to buyers will be key. But recently added capacities will be a deterrent to price revisions, if demand not improved sufficiently.

    Historically ALUM has played well with volatile aluminum prices. But now they are with high gearing which might limit their maneuvering.

    As investors point of view, I think sector is not attractive at current prices.
    avatar
    yellow knife
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    Aluminium - Snapshot Empty Re: Aluminium - Snapshot

    Post by yellow knife Mon Apr 23, 2018 12:40 pm

    Thanks Hariesha
    CK
    CK
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    Aluminium - Snapshot Empty Re: Aluminium - Snapshot

    Post by CK Mon Apr 23, 2018 1:09 pm

    Avoid these shares as this is impacted on present imports and hence profit margins will be lower in future.

      Current date/time is Sat Jul 27, 2024 2:02 pm