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AP Technical Analysis Report - July 2017

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AP Technical Analysis Report - July 2017 Empty AP Technical Analysis Report - July 2017

Post by Danidu on Fri Jun 30, 2017 10:38 pm

Highlights ….

All Shares Index (6704) consolidated after witnessing two continuous months of upside rally. Presently the index trades near its previous top of 6800-6850 levels which is expected to act as an important resistance. A breakout above this zone will lead to new uptrend in the index.  As mentioned in our previous months report  we would like to maintain our target of 7000-7250 index on an immediate basis (next 2-3 months).

BUY           AVOID
JKH
TJL             NDB
EXPO          OSEA
HNB            LGL
LLUB           DFCC
AEL             HEXP
GRAN

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B2PpLi1dOl2WQzY1VGFCXzFVclU

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Post by slstock on Sat Jul 01, 2017 1:27 am

Thank you Danidu.

Good to see you back here for the long silence.

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Post by Future123 on Sat Jul 01, 2017 4:21 pm

Thanks Danidu.

Out of the buy recommendations, I will avoid LLUB as their profits are coming down due to:
1) Heavy competition and lower Gross profit and EPs
2) As per the revised tax policy, the WHT on dividends will be increased from 10% to 14%. People buy LLUB mainly for dividends and this will not be attractive at current prices due to possible lower dividend pay out.
I sold my LLUB above 175/= few months ago when I first heard about the government's plans to increase dividend taxes and it was a correct decision by me.

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Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Sat Jul 01, 2017 5:13 pm

Thanks Danidu.
(Can EXPO be trusted ?)

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Post by CK on Sat Jul 01, 2017 5:45 pm

LLUB may be the best dividend payer in CSE. So increase in WHT is not a reason to sell it. And due to that reason should we sell good dividend payers?
Other hand every business have competition and great companies know how to overcome them.
Dear future123, it's ok you sold your llub quantity. But it's not a valid reason to demote that. If you still holding it, you will never say like this.
Disc: Not holding
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Post by Danidu on Sat Jul 01, 2017 7:39 pm

LLUB is my favorite one with good dividend yield and I believe that they can continue this. Also I think, the price will come down bit due to Tax increases and continue foreign selling, LLUB has good export market to Bangladesh, Maldives...

Dear Kith, I can see there is good one than EXPO in the same sector. it is SPEN, After my small study I think SPEN is at bottom now and it can reach high slowly with performance, already witness with good EPS this year. (Just wondering What happened to HHL, Remember, no one talk about HHL when it was 80-90 level, I missed it. Now it is too late)

Disc:- Holding

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Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Sat Jul 01, 2017 8:50 pm

Thanks.
(With some of their past activities in mind, I was thinking loud about the EXPO counter.
I hold none of this counter but LLUB yes and I have no intention of letting it go anytime soon).  Very Happy
Danidu wrote:LLUB is my favorite one with good dividend yield  and I believe that they can continue this. Also I think, the price will come down bit due to Tax increases and continue foreign selling, LLUB has good export market to Bangladesh, Maldives...

Dear Kith, I can see there is good one than EXPO in the same sector. it is SPEN, After my small study I think SPEN is at bottom now and it can reach high slowly with performance, already witness with good EPS this year. (Just wondering What happened to HHL, Remember, no one talk about HHL when it was 80-90 level, I missed it. Now it is too late)

Disc:- Holding

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Post by Future123 on Sat Jul 01, 2017 11:47 pm

If someone bought LLUB much lower before the split then it's really worth keeping it. I used to trade LLUB and I think I bought around 155/= and saw some research report about competition and the liberalization of oil market then didn't want to take a risk. Further, depreciating rupee also another threat for import companies. Think it was a correct decision selling.

Last quarter profit also dipped by 17% due to the above reasons. I will definitely buy if it comes to 155/= or below but I highly doubt it. LLUB is one of my favourite counters.

All these are temporary issues for LLUB. Their management is superb and they will overcome any short term issues swiftly. Might reenter if I can get the correct price or any big positive news come for the oil industry.

About SPEN - Trading at a very attractive price. There is a huge foreign selling mainly from HSBC international nominee funds (about 6 funds). Don't have any idea when the selling is going to be over. Also I noted that SPEN made 42% of the profit in last quarter. Better wait and see the next quarter too. Better buy slowly for long term since SPEN is trading at a very attractive price.

Note: Please do your own research before making any buy/ sell investment decision.


CK wrote:LLUB may be the best dividend payer in CSE. So increase in WHT is not a reason to sell it. And due to that reason should we sell good dividend payers?
Other hand every business have competition and great companies know how to overcome them.
Dear future123, it's ok you sold your llub quantity. But it's not a valid reason to demote that. If you still holding it, you will never say like this.
Disc: Not holding

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Post by slstock on Mon Jul 03, 2017 11:30 am


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