by slstock Wed May 18, 2016 2:48 pm
Al,
1)
Well it can move at a fast rate when the time is right. Yes.
But out performing is relative word.
Ex: Take LFIN.
This moved from Rs 100 to 270 ( with hefty dividends) from 2012 to now.
Or from 2014 about 100% .
So if ALLI moves, it need to out perform the shares you mentioned.
2)
But how far can it go?
Last high ( in 2011) was Rs 1700 I vaguely recall. ( before Cap of reserve)
For sake of argument to go with you statement of out performing ,
say ALLI more than doubles in price to go again to Rs 1700.
Do you see a fundamental issue ( compared to the sector) ?
Hint think PE ratios.
3)
Also don't forget CFIN if you are taking ALLI to be the most undervalued wrd to Assets.
So what you stated is tricky statement.
4)
Btw if ALLI does not report atleast Rs 40 eps this quarter I will not be happy with them.
Predicting ALLI earning is tough due to their "ways".
BIG NOTE TO PEOPLE READING THIS:
This is academic discussion. Do nto assume the number stated will happen .
(for example 100% run, when ever)
These are just example to discuss only.
The Alchemist wrote:Re ALLI - I have a hunch that it will outperform all other comparable FIN companies like, CFIN, PLC, VFIN, LFIN, CDB etc within next 6 months. pls note all current prices and keep for future comparison.
Last edited by slstock on Wed May 18, 2016 3:01 pm; edited 1 time in total
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