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How to identify a stock market bottom

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Tue Jan 24, 2017 5:57 am

CK wrote:
Yin-Yang wrote:
CK wrote:Sometimes when  S or R strongly breaks, it will become vice versa. How you explain it?

Example ?
Sorry for late reply.  Take 80 level as an example for gran

Breaking level for GRAN has been 87; it could be found easily and predictably. We can take it up later when trying to identify the 'end of plateau'. .

[The reason is also obvious; When ice is melting, the temp will never go above 0 C. When all ice has become water, the temp will not go below 0 C. It is the heat absorption capacity of water.]
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by yaka on Tue Jan 24, 2017 10:31 am

any time frame for RICH?

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Tue Jan 24, 2017 10:39 am

Feb to May
8 to 9/-
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by CK on Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:05 pm

thanks YY. When gran beaten down on march last yr, and when it recover 80-82 had a high resistant. Now 80 level give a good support.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:19 pm

I would pick Gran 78-80 and drop near 110 this year.
Is is nearing a bottom now.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:48 pm

Water, water everywhere not a drop to drink.

Waiting impatiently for next step.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:59 pm

||| impatient|||

Single word for 'consistent loss of money n the market'
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:06 pm

clown
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Tue Jan 24, 2017 7:51 pm

Now, an exercise;

Look at SAMP
Observe from Early 2016
Where should it be by April this year?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by mymoney on Wed Jan 25, 2017 10:43 am

Many shares trading bellow net asset value and bellow P.E ratio 5,

Those who are believing the countries future ,

Can be surely rich(Millionaires) when market recovered that expected level ,

Who has that gut feeling ?

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Wed Jan 25, 2017 11:56 am

Yin-Yang wrote:Now, an exercise;

Look at SAMP
Observe from Early 2016
Where should it be by April this year?

I see the chart but do not know how to identify end of plateau.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:24 pm

We are already at the end.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:31 pm

Yin-Yang wrote:We are already at the end.

OK, but how do you calculate that all the ice has melted and that its now going to boil merrily ? Ice quantity vs intensity of heat applied ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:52 pm

That we'll take up soon; after me seen the audience's ability to identify the pattern.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Wed Jan 25, 2017 1:07 pm

TJ seems to fit the pattern nice. HHL,WATA somewhat but not quite. Rich in first step plateau.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 25, 2017 1:16 pm

Good!

TJL is becoming steam.

WATA has completed one cycle and at the start of a fresh one. It is big block of Ice, just about to melt.

HHL Steaming.

How about SAMP ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Wed Jan 25, 2017 2:19 pm

SAMP has finished melting and has been absorbing heat for a while.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 25, 2017 3:12 pm

Backstage wrote:SAMP has finished melting and has been absorbing heat for a while.

When had the melting started?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by dhanurrox on Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:47 pm

CARG nice accumilation

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:06 pm

CCS is at an end now; can give 20% in next 6 months.

Anyone see the pattern?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Thu Jan 26, 2017 5:05 pm

Yin-Yang wrote:
Backstage wrote:SAMP has finished melting and has been absorbing  heat for a while.

When had the melting started?

August 2016 ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Thu Jan 26, 2017 5:15 pm

I can see that you see something.

As what I see, I would call it boiling [the second plateau].

April,May, June had the melting, August started the boiling which looks finished now.

Next what we can expect is the final rise before things get cooled off for some time.

++++++++++

Want to know how to estimate when and where it can peak next ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Thu Jan 26, 2017 5:19 pm

OK. So do we take traded volumes into consideration ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Thu Jan 26, 2017 7:40 pm

No Need.

You can do it visually; having a good look at the 'water' pattern.

Like to give a try yourself first?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Fri Jan 27, 2017 9:45 am

yes yes yes bounce
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