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How to identify a stock market bottom

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Mon Jan 09, 2017 1:21 pm

Backstage wrote:Fist plateau Melting, second boiling.

Fantastic!!!


Now remember the sequence.

1. Rise up [From the bottom]
2. plateau
3. Rise up again
4. Another plateau
5. Rise up [to the top]

++++++

Now, go back to your favorite counters and see, how many of them have illustrated this same [watery] behavior ?

Can you find this in any historical prices ?

Since your are aiming for 40% in 18 months; look for any 20% rises and 3~6-months-long-plateaus.

Let me know what you can find.


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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Mon Jan 09, 2017 1:26 pm

Will do.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Tue Jan 10, 2017 11:01 pm

If you have managed to see the connection between the behavior of water and share price;

Catching tops and bottoms means;

Buying ice or freezing water and selling steam or boiling water.

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by yellow knife on Wed Jan 11, 2017 8:27 am

Good metaphor Ying Yang

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 10:54 am

To give an example from the reverse action.:

VONE was boiling at 22/-

Freezing at 18/-

You will find solid ice at 16/-

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by CK on Wed Jan 11, 2017 12:58 pm

Yin-Yang wrote:To give an example from the reverse action.:

VONE was boiling at 22/-

Freezing at 18/-

You will find solid ice at 16/-

support and resistant..isn't it?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 3:23 pm

This is more about breaking out of and coming back to S & R levels.

This is more about converting frozen shareholders in to steaming investors.

This is about how much energy is needed at and can be stored in during a conversion process.

This is about how much pressure is needed for steam to explode an enclosed vessel.

This is about how much energy can be extracted from an ice cube before it is reversed back to room temperature and above.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Wed Jan 11, 2017 5:18 pm

Sorry again for erratic participation, out of town mostly with limited connectivity.
Will respond better next week. Strange that there is little interest. The political posturing seems more popular.scratch

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 7:05 pm

Let it be like that pal.

If you want to travel somewhere fast, would you choose a crowded road or a one with less traffic ?


And; if you take too much water to heat, it may never boil sometimes.


Last edited by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 7:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 7:21 pm

Another example;

HHL is boiling at 100/-. Pressure valve will activate at 120/-
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 7:24 pm

Another example; WATA is freezing. Wait for melting point at 21/-
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Wed Jan 11, 2017 7:27 pm

As mentioned earlier; RICH is melting now at 8/- will boil at 8/50. Pressure release will be at 9/-
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by CK on Thu Jan 12, 2017 3:01 am

It still S & R, combined with common sense and gut feeling. Anyway good reading and thanks for keeping the forum live.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Thu Jan 12, 2017 10:01 pm

It can be classified as anything.

But
Finally,

What makes the difference is how you will use that knowledge practically in the markets.

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by CK on Fri Jan 13, 2017 3:37 pm

Sometimes when  S or R strongly breaks, it will become vice versa. How you explain it?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Fri Jan 13, 2017 6:01 pm

CK wrote:Sometimes when  S or R strongly breaks, it will become vice versa. How you explain it?

Example ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:45 am

Yin-Yang wrote:
Backstage wrote:Fist plateau Melting, second boiling.

Fantastic!!!


Now remember the sequence.

1. Rise up [From the bottom]
2. plateau
3. Rise up again
4. Another plateau
5. Rise up [to the top]

++++++

Now, go back to your favorite counters and see, how many of them have illustrated this same [watery] behavior ?

Can you find this in any historical prices ?

Since your are aiming for 40% in 18 months; look for any 20% rises and 3~6-months-long-plateaus.

Let me know what you can find.



If someone has picked up the water patterns in the market; let me know.

So that we can go to the next step; to move up from 50% towards 100%.

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Mon Jan 23, 2017 11:08 am

Bonus Hint:

Buy TJL @ 40/- and sell @ 60/- within the year 2017.

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Mon Jan 23, 2017 11:13 am

Observing some 5yr period charts, not all fit the 3 step rise. Do most ?

How do you determine end of plateau ?
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Mon Jan 23, 2017 11:40 am

Yin-Yang wrote:Bonus Hint:

Buy TJL @ 40/- and sell @ 60/- within the year 2017.


Nice one and a safe one ( what more could one want I guess) Hold some bought at 20 and at 30. Still looking good. Fits the chart to your description.
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Mon Jan 23, 2017 11:55 am

Backstage wrote:Observing some 5yr period charts, not all fit the 3 step rise. Do most ?

How do you determine end of plateau ?

|||How do you determine end of plateau ? |||
That's what we can discuss next.


|||not all fit the 3 step rise|||

50% of them should.

Human are still only 50% water.

They say there is only one species more than 90% water.


+++++++

I like to hear about couple of examples which fits the pattern; before continuing.
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Yin-Yang

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Backstage on Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:01 pm

They say there is only one species more than 90% water.

Maldivians ? Smile
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by Yin-Yang on Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:44 pm

If only Jellyfish started to invest here
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Yin-Yang

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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by CK on Mon Jan 23, 2017 11:00 pm

Yin-Yang wrote:
CK wrote:Sometimes when  S or R strongly breaks, it will become vice versa. How you explain it?

Example ?
Sorry for late reply.  Take 80 level as an example for gran
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Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

Post by CK on Mon Jan 23, 2017 11:04 pm

And also thanks for free tips YY... Very Happy
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