Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
- stocks hunterTop contributor
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Join date : 2014-03-16
Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
“The super returns that are currently offered by the bourse will be over by 2020 as the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) will reach maturity as a market by then.Returns could also be lower due to the high level of foreign participation. Further, Sri Lankan economy will also slow down after the rapid growth in the preceding 5-years which will also slow down the growth of listed entities,” explained Fernando who initiated the country’s first dollar bond fund.
Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) benchmark price index, the All Share Price Index (ASPI) returns have grown by 23 percent annually during the last 5-years and the market is trading at PE multiple of 19.52 which is considered over-valued.
At 25 percent annual return, an investor who invests in Sri Lankan equities today will be able to see his investment tripling in 5-years.Fernando who is also the Ceylon Asset Management Company Limited (CAM) Managing Director urged retailers to get in to Lankan equities now than later as the opportunity is now available.Fernando also expects Sri Lanka to be upgraded from the current BB- (by Fitch) to the investment grade rating of BBB by 2020.
Sri Lanka’s current under-investment grade rating hinders most international funds, emerging market funds, pension funds etc from investing in Sri Lankan equities and bonds as they can only invest in BBB rated instruments.
“Once you get to BBB, most pension funds (US) will invest with you. Sri Lanka will be flooded with money (capital). After you go to BBB, you won’t get double digit returns,” he explained.Meanwhile the emerging market investment advisor and CAM Director, Michael Preiss however told most of the money is made during the transition period from under-investment grade to the investment grade. This is because of the relatively higher interest incomes and potentially higher capital gains an investor could make during this period.
Further, an investment grade rating will pressure Sri Lankan bond yields down further while the prices pushing up benefits future dollar bond issuers.
At present, US $ 7.0 billion worth of Sri Lankan issued dollar bonds; sovereign, bank and corporate bonds are listed on the Singapore Exchange
www.dailymirror.lk
- jonta999
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
- NuinthTop contributor
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
Time to select future growing industries & select the shares for face the boom.
Good luck.
- HAL9000Top contributor
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
Nuinth wrote:Thx for sharing SH.
Time to select future growing industries & select the shares for face the boom.
Good luck.
Some foreign investors have already done that smartly and continue to do so. Recent market free fall on 13 th October was really beneficial for them, since then foreign inflow was significant. Like I said before this unusual drop was apparently induced give way to some foreign players to enter.
- Antonym
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
If Fernando had said 15-20% compounded returns over the next 2 years, I would certainly have believed him.
- Ianian
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
- dhanurrox
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
- slstockVeteran
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Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
That part maybe possible if economy is on a very healthy track but whether ASI can grow 25% a year continuously every year ... hmm
- slstockVeteran
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Join date : 2014-06-12
Re: Sri Lankan Equities To Grow 25% Next 5-years
A bit too much to think about ...
slstock wrote:So by 2019 ASI needs to be 22000
That part maybe possible if economy is on a very healthy track but whether ASI can grow 25% a year continuously every year ... hmm