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» ශ්‍රී ලංකාව යළිත් පරාදයි
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What to Analyse

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What to Analyse

Post by pathfinder on Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:10 pm

I thought not to write in any forums ever,but some of the members  openly requested me to remain and many others contacted me through varies electronics messages.I should thank Mr.YK to show me the value of contribution in forums.So hereafter I would contribute as time permits till Admin say not to write.And I should not restrict my contribution to a one forum,so I may write in other forums too.
Some new members are trying to give character certificates to senior members without knowing what they have done in the past.Here are some links I have posted before,Plesae go through these links before analysis myself.

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t1129-neglected-hdfc#5687

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t2090-first-capital-holdings

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t1425-entrust-securities#8485

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t6203-what-s-going-to-happen

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t2179-rubber-prices-vs-rexpkgal

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t5300-royal-ceramics-lanka-rcl#40586

http://forum.lankaninvestor.com/t5291-for-betterment-of-forum#40338


FG it’s a good decision to keep ultimate admin power with you or the one you are to be introduce.Administration and contribution are two different subjects should be done by separate teams.Role of A robot admin was one I was expecting for sometimes,he has no loyalties what so ever,if anyone goes above the boundry he should act as a machine.With the implementation of this I think this forum can move to next step.

Regarding the forum,
This was the number one forum in 2014-15 where everyone contribute as they could.Discussions only confined to the topic.Later somehow members tend to find Hidden agendas and deeper issues on comments made by contributors.Then forum became a series of Sherlok Holmes where everyone trying to find deeper issues and hidden agendas simply ignoring the content seen in the posts.Where every problem starts.Then everyone including top contributors became afraid to discuss shares .

It should be a admin’s work to find agendas and issues of posts,non of others duty.If forum guidelines are breached by any member intervention should only come from Admin.If conflict begins between two members no one should jump in between to show their loyalty to either party,that only makes matter worse.There are a many examples I’m not going to drag it up here.



Regarding Technical Analysis,
This is not a easy subject and need lots of practice,Different TA people use different methods that suits to him,But what needed  is to identify buying and selling point of shares to make profits.Likewise there are people who are good analysts but bad teachers,some can teach well but may lack of analysis ability.Of course I’m not a good teacher ,my  analysis ability should judge by others.

Usually 230-240 symbols trade during a usual trading day,Many move up and give good returns but as a forum IS is not talking about shares that can make a move.Discussions  has only been confined to few fundamentally sound counters.Should it be the objective of a forum?

Let’s take a example like BLUE,Why it’s not discussing here,can’t people make profit out of it?Let people to post about so called crap shares and allow others to give their openion,If someone say buy BLUE at Rs.2 and will hit it Rs.5 should all the members jump at him and attack him,My answer is no,Then someone can give a insight of Fundamental Aspect and one may give Technical aspect then it’ll be a nice discussion.Then a newbie can see both sides of the coin and make their decision by themselves.This is the protection a community needed.

If anyone need technical point of view in any shares please post it here I’ll answer as I know,I invite all Tech pals like Smallville,Hunter,Xmart,NC and My money to join with me .
Let’s stop character analysis and move on to share analysis.
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by CK on Sat Sep 03, 2016 5:09 am

Thanks for coming back path. It's a pleasure .
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by sashimaal on Sat Sep 03, 2016 8:34 am

Thanks Path, agree on your views . Pls continue to contribute
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by Rana on Sat Sep 03, 2016 9:27 am

thanks Mr.Path

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by smallville on Sat Sep 03, 2016 11:14 am

Welcome back.. Happy that ur here again..

U should also not be surprised if ur suddenly attacked.. Very Happy anyways, u r seasoned enuf to answer their questions .. And always answer when questioned if not all discussions can go haywire..


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I take risks as a Trader and I select stocks based on Tech and daily Cash in/out. Therefore, my methods may not suit u.. so DYO analysis before making any decisions.
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by garu on Sat Sep 03, 2016 11:38 am

Thnks so much pf to join with us after thinking favour of us.i like to ask first question. If u have free time can explain about cfvf and analysis part?
Thnks


Last edited by garu on Sat Sep 03, 2016 12:02 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by HUNTER on Sat Sep 03, 2016 11:50 am

PF buddy, now you are supposed to change your picture; aren't you?

Market doesn't look that bearish these days.

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by xmart on Sat Sep 03, 2016 5:17 pm

It's good to have you back path..

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by pathfinder on Sat Sep 03, 2016 6:01 pm

Thanks everybody,

@Small-I have faith on Admin,that's why I returned.

@Hunter-Ha ha you noticed it Very Happy Changed the picture
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by roshana7549 on Sat Sep 03, 2016 6:19 pm

Welcome back path!!!!

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by Leon on Sat Sep 03, 2016 7:12 pm

Good to see ya mate. Let's make a fresh start.
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by pathfinder on Sat Sep 03, 2016 7:39 pm

Mr.Garu this is the chart for CFVF,

If you look at the price chart of CFVF recent high is 25.70,last few days it trading around 22,which is 50% of fib correction.On 30th Aug PSAR crossed the price line above downward same time price moved ahead of 10 day MA,both consider as bull signs.However 25.70 is act as a resistance.



RSI crossed it's downward channel and move upward,



MACD crossed near 0  with increased volume is strongly a positive sign.




So I expect CFVF to test 25.70 in coming days.
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by malan 100 on Sun Sep 04, 2016 10:23 am

Welcome back path. Thanks for CFVF analysis. Any thoughts on recent due dividend ?

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by pathfinder on Sun Sep 04, 2016 6:17 pm

malan 100 wrote:Welcome back path. Thanks for CFVF analysis. Any thoughts on recent due dividend ?

According to their dividend history,dividend is declared in Jul or Aug,Don't know a dividend is pending.
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by lanka on Sun Sep 04, 2016 6:26 pm

Happy to see you again, dear Path

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by garu on Sun Sep 04, 2016 7:19 pm

Thnks PF for analysis.

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by yellow knife on Mon Sep 05, 2016 7:33 am

Welcome back Path and thanks for considering my request to continue writing...

Where do you write ? Its not material... write in any place you feel free to ( I may confine to one place ).. I can remember when Sunil Madawa ( a journalist) started to write in a paper owned by a gambler , someone asked him " You the revolutionary now write for the gambler's paper"

" I write where ever my views are given free chance and don't mind whether the gambler own it or whether it get published in Assa Kole"

While saying that I would say I am loyal to this forum and of course to few members here...

************************************

I had a full cycle of 5 years in Trading and another full cycle of 5 years in totally Fundamentally sound shares with almost Never to sell approach..

I have seen these two extremes and will tolerate both these fighting forces and after a decade of both ends now I am into JKD ( be like water, no shape no color)...In Central Bankers world this is Goldilock lesson and for Buddhists the non-extremist method..

So go ahead Path.. my tolerance level is very high even on Blue.N or Reef.N

However I may continue questioning like I questioned on ANILANA by Wolf...

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by pathfinder on Mon Sep 05, 2016 6:10 pm

yellow knife wrote:Welcome back Path and thanks for considering my request to continue writing...

Where do you write ? Its not material... write in any place you feel free to ( I may confine to one place ).. I can remember when Sunil Madawa ( a journalist) started to write in a paper owned by a gambler , someone asked him " You the revolutionary now write for the gambler's paper"

" I write where ever my views are given free chance and don't mind whether the gambler own it or whether it get published in Assa Kole"


Agreed 100%.I'll ignore the noise and continue to write till admin say not to write anymore.

yellow knife wrote:

So go ahead Path.. my tolerance level is very high even on Blue.N or Reef.N

However I may continue questioning like I questioned on ANILANA by Wolf...

I also develop my tolerance level enough to post in IS.  Cool

Any question is welcome on the subject and the tone should be same as questioning others.  Very Happy

If anybody has a different view please don't hesitate to post it here.
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CFVF update

Post by pathfinder on Mon Sep 05, 2016 6:17 pm

CFVF had some selling pressure today,seems someone is trying to exit.Still trend is intact,what worrying me is the ASI.It's getting bearish day by day.
If ASI remain red CFVF may take a breath before next movement.
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Update on ASI

Post by pathfinder on Mon Sep 05, 2016 6:39 pm

ASI has shown bearish trend since 25th Aug,



As shown in rounded area PSAR has crossed price line and start to go down.10 day MA shown in green also crossed the same day.MACD crossing happened too.All signs are in favor of a reversal of a trend.
On fib retracement 38.2% is 6480
50% correction is 6436.
61.8% is 6392

where ASI is going to land?
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by sashimaal on Mon Sep 05, 2016 7:48 pm

Great coverage Path.

Pls continue your updates
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by nihal123 on Mon Sep 05, 2016 8:22 pm

Nice to see you Path
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Re: What to Analyse

Post by garu on Mon Sep 05, 2016 9:31 pm

We are very lucky to have such a giant in technical analysis with us again.
Thnks for latest update and analysis on ASI

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by yellow knife on Tue Sep 06, 2016 8:40 am

Thanks Path.. We need good TAs and healthy arguments among TAs....You have a proven history of TA and love to see the active TAs

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Re: What to Analyse

Post by lanka on Tue Sep 06, 2016 11:11 am

Thanks, dear Parth

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