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Harmonic Price Patterns

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by serene on Fri Apr 04, 2014 7:24 am

TAH wrote:
serene wrote:Appreciate your work TAH and wish JKH will prove the technicals. If so others will also follow the JKH.Which will create a  Very Happy time. cheers
More often than not JKH has been technical friendly due to its good liquidity  Laughing 

True mate also what i'm seeing is JKH is more or less determine the pattern of APSI.I'm not expert in charts but the comparison of moving averages seems to prove it.So if we can find counters which react to the ASPI trend we might get handy profits by analyzing solely JKH pattern and technicals.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Fri Apr 04, 2014 10:40 am

Here is the SPSL20 chart update with a bearish view.
Couple of scenarios to ponder about in the week-end.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Fri Apr 04, 2014 10:46 am

The trending up over 33xx is yet to materialize. JKH falling towards 228 from 234+.
I would be more comfortable to shed 100+ points on S&P20 now. or towards 3150 to complete a triple bottom.
The reason being the testing of 38.2% will act as a natural resisitance. This is the phase we are in.
But not necessarily we should see a reversal, it could be that50% or 61.8% could act as RES zones for the Index.
But in any case for such a scenario to exist we should BREAK 33xx jinx with high powered volumes.
But the question would be is this the Right time to break the 33xx levels.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Fri Apr 04, 2014 11:27 am

SAMP updated ......

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Fri Apr 04, 2014 11:29 am

Circled as 3 in GREEN should read as 4
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Fri Apr 04, 2014 11:38 am

The corrected chart on SAMP ......

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by Leon on Fri Apr 04, 2014 1:14 pm

TAH wrote:The corrected chart on SAMP ......


@TAH, Tnx..
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Sun Apr 06, 2014 1:10 am

Let me know what you think of the BAT pattern which is in final leg towards D leg around 8Rs.
Perhaps it may take few more months.

I did notice the break out around 5.70rs.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Sun Apr 06, 2014 10:29 am

JKH would be good for collection @225/-
This could be due to sell off for brief
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Sun Apr 06, 2014 10:32 am

Drew interesting charts of JKH and ASPI ........ something is in the store  scratch 
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Sun Apr 06, 2014 10:43 am

Based on ASPI if we see the current GREEN extending further into the month ........

Write down 2 targets specifically ......

6215 ----> very important to break this number (we could see a reversal yet again)
+7000 -----> would in sight within a year or year and half.

imagine where would JKH be in such a scenario.
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Sun Apr 06, 2014 10:47 am

As you know i will not post the ASPI chart and dont bother me requesting as well Smile i will not share it.
I have not discussed the reversal targets as yet as +7000 has to come before we could see a major change in ASPI trend.
You know what i mean.
Dont think i am fantasizing with words, but soeaking in technical sense.
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by sashimaal on Sun Apr 06, 2014 11:22 am

Thank you TAH for your valuable Technical viewpoints
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by serene on Sun Apr 06, 2014 11:23 am

TAH wrote:As you know i will not post the ASPI chart and dont bother me requesting as well :)i will not share it.
I have not discussed the reversal targets as yet as +7000 has to come before we could see a major change in ASPI trend.
You know what i mean.
Dont think i am fantasizing with words, but soeaking in technical sense.

Ground is set for a very healthy run bounce  Basketball .But who knows funny things happens silent .

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by Nuinth on Sun Apr 06, 2014 12:23 pm

serene wrote:
TAH wrote:As you know i will not post the ASPI chart and dont bother me requesting as well :)i will not share it.
I have not discussed the reversal targets as yet as +7000 has to come before we could see a major change in ASPI trend.
You know what i mean.
Dont think i am fantasizing with words, but soeaking in technical sense.

Ground is set for a very healthy run bounce  Basketball .But who knows funny things happens silent .

Thx TAH for your contribution.

I guess we can see interesting period ahead. Because,

1. Most company will present healthy results pending & comings quarters. Most of companies restructuring their business, investing to new projects/expanding their business. Ex. JKH, SHL.

2. The government will do something for establish the country direction. I guess after the UNHRC & election they understood their status & what they want to improve within next 1-2 years for survival.

3. Hope famouse government back institutions will list in cse & will attract more investors.

These are just my thoughts.


Last edited by Nuinth on Sun Apr 06, 2014 12:24 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Add more content)

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by serene on Sun Apr 06, 2014 1:05 pm

Nuinth wrote:
serene wrote:
TAH wrote:As you know i will not post the ASPI chart and dont bother me requesting as well :)i will not share it.
I have not discussed the reversal targets as yet as +7000 has to come before we could see a major change in ASPI trend.
You know what i mean.
Dont think i am fantasizing with words, but soeaking in technical sense.

Ground is set for a very healthy run bounce  Basketball .But who knows funny things happens silent .

Thx TAH for your contribution.

I guess we can see interesting period ahead. Because,

1. Most company will present healthy results pending & comings quarters. Most of companies restructuring their business, investing to new projects/expanding their business. Ex. JKH, SHL.

2. The government will do something for establish the country direction. I guess after the UNHRC & election they understood their status & what they want to improve within next 1-2 years for survival.

3. Hope famouse government back institutions will list in cse & will attract more investors.

These are just my thoughts.

Also
1. Banks and NBFI's will be stronger if the pending mergers are successful.May be foreign loans with less Interest rates if the Sovereign ratings improved due to stability in financial sector
2.Less corruption due to International pressure and the little red light on concluded election.
3.Lower interest rates would encourage investments.
4.Even in the CSE less manipulation can be seen compare to past.

My personal view as well.


Last edited by serene on Sun Apr 06, 2014 1:06 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Addition to content)

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 1:44 pm



This is the Banner on CSE ......

Well-done LIONS
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 1:58 pm

Perhaps July-Sep period more companies will declare dividends.... So now is the time to collect shares eyeing those announcements ....
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 2:13 pm

Looking at PABC did not declare dividends & Nimal collected +100k shares.

in technical view we could see this share going up at least 4-5 Rs in the short term.

TAH
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by dhanurrox on Mon Apr 07, 2014 2:38 pm

TAH wrote:Perhaps July-Sep period more companies will declare dividends....  So now is the time to collect shares eyeing those announcements ....
TAH our ASIY awaits.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 2:43 pm

dhanurrox wrote:
TAH wrote:Perhaps July-Sep period more companies will declare dividends....  So now is the time to collect shares eyeing those announcements ....
TAH our ASIY awaits.
well i am not sure they will match .38c dividends.... what you think.
As per their policy they will maintain a 20% payout on NPAT.  Very Happy 

How ever lets the 10c dividends if we receive would be better off than CTBL am i right.  Rolling Eyes 
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 2:48 pm

This is because you are paying a premium of 1Rs if you are holding CTBL. whilst ASIY costs only 3.10.

My original post on ASIY was that the counter would be a good collection at around 3.10 which we are in. that came in from 3.80.

If in case they match .38c dividend or slightly better, then this is in a massive discount .

.38/3.10*100=12.25%/6months*12months that should give 25% return on dividend payment alone.
Then what about the capital gain.

All in all to sum up ASIY 3.10Rs is a good collection if you were able to collect it.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 2:51 pm

Similarly see the SAMP bullishness.
On XD date this was trading around 183-184. Then came to 173 and now back again 180 in a span of few days .....

I am hopefull this will easily be in 200Rs in the coming months
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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by dhanurrox on Mon Apr 07, 2014 3:02 pm

TAH wrote:This is because you are paying a premium of 1Rs if you are holding CTBL. whilst ASIY costs only 3.10.

My original post on ASIY was that the counter would be a good collection at around 3.10 which we are in. that came in from 3.80.

If in case they match .38c dividend or slightly better, then this is in a massive discount .

.38/3.10*100=12.25%/6months*12months that should give 25% return on dividend payment alone.
Then what about the capital gain.

All in all to sum up ASIY 3.10Rs is a good collection if you were able to collect it.

Decision makes hold almost all the shares.I think close to 97%.more than .10 possible.I don't have this yet.Last time enjoyed the party.

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Re: Harmonic Price Patterns

Post by SHARK a.k.a TAH on Mon Apr 07, 2014 3:29 pm

If they (ASIY) persist with similar payout like last time oooh boy it would be in massive collection by most. with a possible reaching it to 5Rs over CTBL 4Rs CMP.
But all this would be speculative....

Lets be patient till AUG-SEP Smile
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