The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans
Search
 
 

Display results as :
 


Rechercher Advanced Search

Latest topics
» අනං මනං! #/+?.<>
Yesterday at 11:24 pm by Backstage

» Sri Lanka gets US$1bn eight-year loan from China Development Bank
Yesterday at 7:42 pm by Brave Heart

» Plantation sector updates
Yesterday at 7:36 pm by Brave Heart

» රුපියලේ ඉරණම
Yesterday at 7:21 pm by Brave Heart

» Sri Lanka could consider capital controls for rupee slide: economist
Yesterday at 6:42 pm by Brave Heart

» Sri Lanka bond yields edge down, rupee marginally weaker
Yesterday at 10:46 am by Brave Heart

» Merchandise export made little contribution to Sri Lanka’s growth: World Bank
Yesterday at 10:17 am by Brave Heart

» Sri Lanka's Chemanex Plc, to exit closed export unit
Yesterday at 10:12 am by Brave Heart

» Sri Lanka cuts taxes on fuel to keep retail prices below formula
Yesterday at 9:49 am by Brave Heart

» Building an automated trading system from scratch
Sat Oct 20, 2018 3:36 pm by xmart

» ඩොක්යාර්ඩ් සමාගමට ඩොලර් මිලියන 3.12ක කොන්ත්‍රාත්තුවක්
Fri Oct 19, 2018 10:30 pm by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka President drops assassination bombshell, accuses India
Fri Oct 19, 2018 9:48 am by Brave Heart

» Sri Lanka stocks end flat, rupee marginally weaker
Fri Oct 19, 2018 9:38 am by Brave Heart

» Sri Lanka's Cargills Bank gets BB(lka) credit rating: Fitch
Fri Oct 19, 2018 7:48 am by The Invisible

» NDB.N0000 (NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK PLC)
Thu Oct 18, 2018 10:26 pm by PANTOMATH

» PB. N0000 (People's Bank)
Thu Oct 18, 2018 6:01 pm by Ethical Trader

» BOC.N0000 ( Bank of Ceylon)
Thu Oct 18, 2018 5:52 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka 3-month Treasuries yield up 20bp at auction
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:48 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka seeks joint venture with Indian Oil unit for Trinco oil tanks
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:46 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka stocks down 0.33-pct, rupee steady
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:45 am by The Invisible

» Global stocks mostly fall as Fed signals more US rate hikes ahead
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:44 am by The Invisible

» SAMP.N0000 (SAMPATH BANK PLC)
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:39 am by The Invisible

» Fed Rate hike , Rs Devaluation PART 2 : Should CSE be like this? Whose FAULT is it?
Wed Oct 17, 2018 3:14 pm by Yin-Yang

» Banking Sector
Wed Oct 17, 2018 11:17 am by lanka

» Sri Lanka needs prudent fiscal policy to retain confidence, refinance debt: Economist
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:51 am by The Invisible

» EPF needs governance overhaul, proxy advisor, to invest in Sri Lanka stock market
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:49 am by The Invisible

» 17-pct of Sri Lankans stunted: World Bank Human Capital Index
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:45 am by The Invisible

» Coalition politics hurt Sri Lanka liberalization drive: Harsha
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:44 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka President calls to expand Nixon shock as rupee falls
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:43 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka new car registrations down 40-pct in September
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:39 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka stocks up 0.37-pct, rupee ends marginally lower
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:38 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka’s Nations Trust Bank gets US$50mn from Dutch lender
Wed Oct 17, 2018 7:58 am by serene

» JKH shares trade Rs1.1bn worth at 126-127/share in today’s trades
Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:45 pm by PANTOMATH

» Only 8-pct of Sri Lanka’s 2018 budget promises progressing on track: Verité
Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:14 pm by serene

» වෙළෙඳපොළ වැටුණු මොහොතේ නිමල් රු. බිලියන 2 ක කොටස් අරන්
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:35 am by Ethical Trader

» බැඳුම්කර මගඩියෙන් අර්ථසාධක අරමුදලට වූ පාඩු පියවා ගන්න මහ බැංකුව සිවිල් නඩුකර පවරයි
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:32 am by Ethical Trader

» සිංගර් කොටස් ගනුදෙනුවෙන් පසු ශුද්ධ විදේශීය ගලායාම රු. බිලියන 8 ඉක්මවයි
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:23 am by Ethical Trader

» Hayleys buys balance 9.47-stake in Singer Sri Lanka
Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:24 am by yellow knife

» Sri Lanka's All Share index falls below 5,800 points
Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:50 am by serene

» Sri Lanka stocks end 0.70-pct lower, rupee lose some gains
Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:33 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka gilt yield curve flattens amid currency pressure
Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:30 am by The Invisible

» Global stocks mixed as oil gains amid scrutiny of Saudi Arabia
Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:24 am by The Invisible

» චීන සංවර්ධන බැංකුවේ සරණින් රුපියල අළු ගසා නැගිටියි
Mon Oct 15, 2018 6:11 pm by serene

» Will take care of debt issues of Belt and Road projects: China
Mon Oct 15, 2018 6:07 pm by serene

» සිංගර් ඉතුරු කොටස ධම්මික අද මිල දී ගනී
Mon Oct 15, 2018 4:57 pm by The Invisible

» ලංකා හා මහජන බැංකු කොටස් අලෙවියක්
Mon Oct 15, 2018 12:23 pm by nihal123

» රුපියල ශක්තිමත් කිරීමට අතේ ඇති ඩොලර් විසි කිරීමේ අවාසිය
Mon Oct 15, 2018 9:32 am by The Invisible

» Global stocks stumble as Trump attacks Fed
Mon Oct 15, 2018 9:29 am by The Invisible

» අහිමි වෙන ඉරාන තේ වෙළෙඳපොළ වෙනුවට රජය විකල්ප සොයාගෙන නෑ
Mon Oct 15, 2018 9:28 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka apparel exports up 7.8-pct in Aug despite Brexit hit
Mon Oct 15, 2018 9:25 am by The Invisible

October 2018
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031   

Calendar Calendar

Disclaimer


Information posted in this forum are entirely of the respective members' personal views. The views posted on this open online forum of contributors do not constitute a recommendation buy or sell. The site nor the connected parties will be responsible for the posts posted on the forum and will take best possible action to remove any unlawful or inappropriate posts.
All rights to articles of value authored by members posted on the forum belong to the respective authors. Re-using without the consent of the authors is prohibited. Due credit with links to original source should be given when quoting content from the forum.
This is an educational portal and not one that gives recommendations. Please obtain investment advises from a Registered Investment Advisor through a stock broker

Sri Lanka economy to grow 4.0-pct in 2018

Go down

Sri Lanka economy to grow 4.0-pct in 2018

Post by The Invisible on Mon Aug 06, 2018 10:42 am

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka's economy may grow may be about 4.0 percent in 2018, Central Bank Governor Indrajit Coomaraswamy said, lowering an earlier forecast of around 4.0-4.5 percent.

"It’s unlikely that growth is going to be more than 4 percent this year," he told reporters Friday after holding policy rates.

The economy was expected to grow by about 3.4 percent in the first half of 2018, and will have to grow by 4.6 percent during the latter half of the year to reach 4.0 percent.

A recovery in the agriculture sector and related industries will help growth.

Coomaraswamy said there was a negative output gap, and real interest rates were also high, with inflation in mid single digits indicating space for a policy rate cut, but major central banks were raising rates and Sri Lanka may face capital outflows, prompting the monetary authority to hold rates.

The central bank triggered a minor run on the rupee by printing large volumes of money in March and April to enforce a rate cut, but conditions are now stabilizing, after short term rates rose.

Analysts have pointed out that the biggest problem in Sri Lanka is the tendency of the central bank's domestic operations department to inject cash into the banking system though sudden 'quantity easing' style exercises, which tends to de-stabilize the credit system and the currency peg.

Services and industrial sectors are also expected to expand, the Central Bank said in its monetary policy statement Firday.

"The economy is projected to reach its potential over the medium term benefiting from a competitive flexible exchange rate, a low inflation environment and a stronger policy framework to support exports and investment, amidst continued fiscal consolidation."

Last year growth fell to 3.2 percent, amid a credit slowdown and foreign reserve collections.

Coomaraswamy said there was a 'squeeze' on the economy from both monetary and fiscal tightening.

Sri Lanka is also expected to miss an International Monetary Fund reserve target for mid 2018, but will apply for a waiver.

The Central Bank collected over billion dollars of reserves in 2017, a practice which tends to dampen credit and growth, in general.

Analysts have pointed out that there is a credit recovery 18 months after the peak of the most recent balance of payments crisis. In the 2011/2012 crisis it took 26 months for credit to recover.

However this year there is an added dampener of a permanently depreciating currency which tends to kill domestic purchasing power and also generate political unrest.

Earlier this year, the Central Bank had expected growth to be around 4-4.5 percent. (COLOMBO, 3 August, 2018)
avatar
The Invisible

Posts : 437
Join date : 2016-11-28
Age : 39

Back to top Go down

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum