The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans
Search
 
 

Display results as :
 


Rechercher Advanced Search

Latest topics
» Thread for News on CSE and SL Economy
Today at 8:57 am by The Invisible

» Thread for News on Local and Foreign Politics
Today at 8:56 am by The Invisible

» Dividend Announcement
Mon Dec 17, 2018 7:04 pm by Ethical Trader

» Buy International English Language Testing System (IELTS) in jordan((WhatsApp:+237675967490))
Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:55 am by nihal123

» Thread for News on International Markets
Fri Dec 14, 2018 1:58 pm by The Invisible

» AINS - Arpico Insurance
Thu Dec 13, 2018 10:43 am by The Invisible

» CFVF - First Capital
Thu Dec 13, 2018 5:18 am by Ethical Trader

» Obituary Notice.
Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:18 am by sashimaal

» BFN - Orient Finance
Wed Dec 12, 2018 9:34 am by PANTOMATH

» බඩගිනී
Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:20 am by Ethical Trader

» අනං මනං! #/+?.<>
Sun Dec 09, 2018 11:19 am by lanka

»  Rajgama heroes !
Sun Dec 09, 2018 9:43 am by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» BOPL.N0000 (Bogawantalawa Tea Estates PLC)
Fri Dec 07, 2018 7:35 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka economic slowdown trims company profits, bank earnings grow
Thu Dec 06, 2018 3:04 pm by nihal123

» JINS.N0000 ( Janashakthi Insurance PLC)
Thu Dec 06, 2018 10:05 am by The Invisible

» Better Than Bitcoin
Thu Dec 06, 2018 9:42 am by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» AAIC.N0000
Thu Dec 06, 2018 8:19 am by serene

» Hutchison, Etisalat complete mobile networks merger in Sri Lanka
Wed Dec 05, 2018 9:30 am by The Invisible

» Oil prices surge more than 5-pct
Mon Dec 03, 2018 1:53 pm by Ethical Trader

» Trading Journal
Mon Dec 03, 2018 11:33 am by lanka

» CCS.N0000 ( Ceylon Cold Stores)
Mon Dec 03, 2018 10:03 am by The Invisible

» HAYC - Haycarb
Sun Dec 02, 2018 3:04 pm by xmart

» In the Meantime, Within Our Shores !
Sat Dec 01, 2018 4:36 pm by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» LGL Laugfs Gas
Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:43 am by The Invisible

» Oil prices gain as investors eye Fed relief on interest rates
Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:41 am by The Invisible

» ලැයිස්තුගත සමාගම් 8 ක් කොටස් ගනුදෙනු තහනම් වීමේ අවදානමක
Thu Nov 29, 2018 11:34 am by nihal123

» අපි තනිකර ලෝකය දිව යන්නේ
Thu Nov 29, 2018 11:32 am by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» NDB.N0000 (NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK PLC)
Thu Nov 29, 2018 10:32 am by The Invisible

» Orient Finance PLC--(Share_Valuation_Report)
Thu Nov 29, 2018 7:17 am by yellow knife

» කිඹුලා
Mon Nov 26, 2018 7:20 am by Lalinda

» Sandos' Vs Creators'
Sun Nov 25, 2018 1:17 pm by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» Tourists Arrival
Sat Nov 24, 2018 10:07 am by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» බිරිඳ
Fri Nov 23, 2018 11:49 am by Ethical Trader

» ගෙයක් හදන්නද ඉන්නේ
Fri Nov 23, 2018 5:55 am by Brave Heart

» --- සමෝසා වෙළෙන්දා -------
Fri Nov 23, 2018 5:51 am by Brave Heart

» විකුණුම්කරු
Sun Nov 18, 2018 2:10 pm by Ethical Trader

» Real Estate Market in Sri Lanka- A booming Industry or a Bubble?
Sun Nov 18, 2018 12:00 am by xmart

» Will YOU VOTE for ME if I run for SL PRESIDENCY?
Sat Nov 17, 2018 11:43 am by CK

» *කොට්ටේ තරණය කිරීම*
Fri Nov 16, 2018 6:25 pm by Ethical Trader

» COMB.N0000 ( COMMERCIAL BANK OF CEYLON PLC )
Wed Nov 14, 2018 9:20 pm by pjrngroup

» DIPD.N0000 (Dipped Products)
Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:18 am by The Invisible

» SAMP.N0000 (SAMPATH BANK PLC)
Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:16 am by The Invisible

» TAFL - Three Acre Farms
Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:14 am by The Invisible

» RCL - Royal Ceramics
Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:12 am by The Invisible

» HAYL.N0000 Hayleys PLC
Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:08 am by The Invisible

» How to trade Stock profitably?
Tue Nov 13, 2018 11:55 am by indramal

» What are investing methods in Sri Lanka?
Tue Nov 13, 2018 6:39 am by indramal

» Thread for General News Local/Foreign
Mon Nov 12, 2018 7:57 am by serene

» Anybody invest New York or Landon Stock Exchange?
Sat Nov 10, 2018 8:53 am by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා

» JKH.N0000
Fri Nov 09, 2018 10:49 am by ruwan326

December 2018
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
      1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
23242526272829
3031     

Calendar Calendar

Disclaimer


Information posted in this forum are entirely of the respective members' personal views. The views posted on this open online forum of contributors do not constitute a recommendation buy or sell. The site nor the connected parties will be responsible for the posts posted on the forum and will take best possible action to remove any unlawful or inappropriate posts.
All rights to articles of value authored by members posted on the forum belong to the respective authors. Re-using without the consent of the authors is prohibited. Due credit with links to original source should be given when quoting content from the forum.
This is an educational portal and not one that gives recommendations. Please obtain investment advises from a Registered Investment Advisor through a stock broker

Sri Lanka economy to grow 4.0-pct in 2018

Go down

Sri Lanka economy to grow 4.0-pct in 2018

Post by The Invisible on Mon Aug 06, 2018 10:42 am

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka's economy may grow may be about 4.0 percent in 2018, Central Bank Governor Indrajit Coomaraswamy said, lowering an earlier forecast of around 4.0-4.5 percent.

"It’s unlikely that growth is going to be more than 4 percent this year," he told reporters Friday after holding policy rates.

The economy was expected to grow by about 3.4 percent in the first half of 2018, and will have to grow by 4.6 percent during the latter half of the year to reach 4.0 percent.

A recovery in the agriculture sector and related industries will help growth.

Coomaraswamy said there was a negative output gap, and real interest rates were also high, with inflation in mid single digits indicating space for a policy rate cut, but major central banks were raising rates and Sri Lanka may face capital outflows, prompting the monetary authority to hold rates.

The central bank triggered a minor run on the rupee by printing large volumes of money in March and April to enforce a rate cut, but conditions are now stabilizing, after short term rates rose.

Analysts have pointed out that the biggest problem in Sri Lanka is the tendency of the central bank's domestic operations department to inject cash into the banking system though sudden 'quantity easing' style exercises, which tends to de-stabilize the credit system and the currency peg.

Services and industrial sectors are also expected to expand, the Central Bank said in its monetary policy statement Firday.

"The economy is projected to reach its potential over the medium term benefiting from a competitive flexible exchange rate, a low inflation environment and a stronger policy framework to support exports and investment, amidst continued fiscal consolidation."

Last year growth fell to 3.2 percent, amid a credit slowdown and foreign reserve collections.

Coomaraswamy said there was a 'squeeze' on the economy from both monetary and fiscal tightening.

Sri Lanka is also expected to miss an International Monetary Fund reserve target for mid 2018, but will apply for a waiver.

The Central Bank collected over billion dollars of reserves in 2017, a practice which tends to dampen credit and growth, in general.

Analysts have pointed out that there is a credit recovery 18 months after the peak of the most recent balance of payments crisis. In the 2011/2012 crisis it took 26 months for credit to recover.

However this year there is an added dampener of a permanently depreciating currency which tends to kill domestic purchasing power and also generate political unrest.

Earlier this year, the Central Bank had expected growth to be around 4-4.5 percent. (COLOMBO, 3 August, 2018)
avatar
The Invisible

Posts : 849
Join date : 2016-11-28
Age : 39

Back to top Go down

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum